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Search resuls for: "Merrill Lynch —"


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He is the founder of Rosenberg Research and the former chief economist at Merrill Lynch — and he called the 2008 recession. Rosenberg ResearchRosenberg's model takes into account stock valuations, investor sentiment, market technicals, investor positioning, and macro fundamentals. Here's The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, which bundles together manufacturing data, bond and stock market performance, housing market activity, and consumer sentiment data. The economy doesn't jump from a tight labor market to layoffs," Rosenberg said in a note on Friday. Labor market and inflation data in the months ahead will tell the story for the US economy.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch —, Rosenberg, It's, , Louis, GMO's Jeremy Grantham, Societe Generale's Albert Edwards Organizations: Rosenberg Research, Business, Research, Federal Reserve Bank of St, CNN, National Federation of Independent Businesses, Rosenberg, Societe Generale's, Federal, Labor, CPI
A once-in-a-generation opportunity is coming for the stock market, according to investment chief Richard Bernstein. AdvertisementAdvertisementBrace for a big investing opportunity that's about to come for stocks — and not in an area of the market investors may be expecting. That's according to Richard Bernstein, the CIO of Richard Bernstein Advisors, a $16 billion asset manager. That coming pendulum swing in market leadership is a "once-in-a-generation" buying opportunity brewing among forgotten and under-loved areas of the market, Bernstein says. Richard Bernstein Advisors"Because growth is starting to accelerate, it makes less and less sense to pay a premium for growth.
Persons: Richard Bernstein, , Bernstein, Merrill Lynch —, RBA, Russell, Bernstein isn't Organizations: Service, Richard Bernstein Advisors, Amazon, Bank of America
With mortgage rates unlikely to budge and incomes unlikely to grow, prices are due to drop. Housing affordability is calculated by accounting for three variables: home prices, mortgage rates, and incomes. Ian Shepherdson, the chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics who said in the 2005 that a housing downturn would spark a recession, made the same argument in recent weeks. Now that's quite striking because mortgage rates are no longer at peak, but applications are still falling. This would send interest rates — and therefore mortgage rates, which trade closely with Treasury rates — higher, further hurting demand and affordability, Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi recently told Fortune.
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